Module 3: Predictive Analytics and Time Series Forecasting
November 2, 2025
Review:
- Module 2
Presentation:
- Video Lecture
- Note that this video was created in 2020 so some references may be out of date.
- I trimmed the video to remove content but references to the assignment may be out of date.
- You may want to switch the video quality to 1080 dp HD to see details.
- Your assignment this week is to create an audio file, not to write a paper.
- Time Series Analysis
- Scatter plots
- Line plots
- Trend lines
- Linear
- Polynomial
- Forecasting
- Google Sheets
- Microsoft Excel
- Examples
Assignment:
- DataCamp
- Complete the Introduction to Data Literacy course
- Reading
- Managerial Analytics, Ch. 6, Predictive Analytics, pp. 153-167
- Forbes article
- Economic Synopsis from the St. Louis Fed
- Data Analysis
- Download the Yield Curve time series data (10+ years)
- Create a Line Chart to display the time series data.
- Record a 2-4 minute audio track answering the following questions about the Yield Curve in your own words.
- What does the yield curve measure?
- Describe the yield curve timeline. What has happened in the past decade? Note time periods with dramatic changes when the yield curve moved up or down.
- Based on your chart, the historical record, and your reading (e.g., the articles provided), what is your assessment of the chances of a U.S. recession in the next 12 months?
- Submit your audio file (.mp4 or similar) on Bb.
